Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.024896 0.030035 0.035429 0.041469 0.048005 0.054826 0.062448
2026-01-11 0.017330 0.024485 0.032547 0.042102 0.052937 0.064692 0.078271
2026-01-18 0.012464 0.020568 0.030315 0.042414 0.056631 0.072482 0.091200
2026-01-25 0.009058 0.017579 0.028499 0.042620 0.059704 0.079160 0.102517
2026-02-01 0.006370 0.014891 0.026574 0.042292 0.061815 0.084464 0.112033
2026-02-08 0.003754 0.011577 0.023329 0.039910 0.061130 0.086241 0.117255
2026-02-15 0.002337 0.009686 0.021718 0.039385 0.062528 0.090329 0.125032
2026-02-22 0.001496 0.008501 0.020937 0.039822 0.065025 0.095654 0.134195
2026-03-01 0.000909 0.007542 0.020351 0.040419 0.067650 0.101077 0.143429
2026-03-08 0.000579 0.007019 0.020375 0.041815 0.071268 0.107690 0.154064
2026-03-15 0.000287 0.006302 0.019967 0.042524 0.073943 0.113106 0.163239
2026-03-22 0.000254 0.006608 0.021363 0.045873 0.080116 0.122874 0.177670
2026-03-29 0.000016 0.005120 0.019412 0.044319 0.079898 0.124885 0.183011
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004534 0.019065 0.045147 0.082892 0.130959 0.193351
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003877 0.018449 0.045498 0.085201 0.136149 0.202602
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003264 0.017792 0.045716 0.087284 0.141023 0.211447
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002599 0.016841 0.045376 0.088537 0.144799 0.218909
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001622 0.014711 0.042905 0.086671 0.144472 0.221219
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001162 0.013775 0.042359 0.087486 0.147576 0.227759
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000920 0.013432 0.042813 0.089722 0.152522 0.236589
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000733 0.013197 0.043432 0.092185 0.157757 0.245777
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000664 0.013417 0.044881 0.095865 0.164597 0.256985
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000529 0.013264 0.045617 0.098482 0.170028 0.266418